Prediction of Maria Lourdes Carle vs Teodora Kostovic at Mallorca Women's Championships - Mallorca 10-10-25

• Who has the better second serve performance in their recent form? Teodora Kostovic leads with a 41.56% point win on second serve, compared to Maria Lourdes Carle's 32.79%.
• In terms of returning, Maria Lourdes Carle excels slightly more, winning 52.91% of her opponents' second serve points, while Teodora Kostovic wins 49.14%.
• Maria Lourdes Carle also has an edge in first serve returns, grabbing 39.07% compared to Kostovic's 35.20%.
• Both players have a similar ability to save breakpoints, with Carle at 46.43% and Kostovic at 45.10%.
• Teodora Kostovic has been more successful in the past year, winning 72.73% of her matches, whereas Maria Lourdes Carle has won 56.00%.
• Both players' best surface is clay with identical win percentages of 66%.
• Regarding match experience, Teodora Kostovic is ahead on the Challenger/ITF circuit with a 76.74% win rate, compared to Carle's 58.70%.
• Kostovic tends to play against lower-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 303.87, while Carle's average opponent rank is 205.73.
• In deciding sets, Kostovic significantly outperforms Carle, winning 76% versus Carle's 50% in the last 12 months.
• Which player might perform better overall? Based on these stats, Kostovic appears to have a slight edge.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

As we bring a close analysis to this matchup, several critical statistics come into play. Teodora Kostovic shows dominance in second serve performance and overall match wins over the last year. These strengths are significant indicators of potential success in the upcoming match.

Maria Lourdes Carle, however, showcases slightly superior return statistics, indicating resilience in challenging rallies. This might not be enough to outweigh Kostovic's current form and psychological advantage in deciding sets, where Kostovic excels.

In conclusion, while Maria Lourdes Carle has demonstrated strengths in returning and challenging opponents with a higher average rank, Teodora Kostovic's overall performance, especially her impressive ability to close out deciding sets, suggests that she is the likely victor in this contest.